Rest of Season Fantasy Baseball Rankings: Panic in the Outfield (2024)

Memorial Day Weekend is an unofficial benchmark of the Major League Baseball season. We have reached the point where most stats have begun to stabilize, for better or worse. That does not mean all hopeis lostfor players like Julio Rodriguez or Randy Arozarenagoing forward. Nor does it meanthat Iwill escape criticism for not ranking Jared Jones (or some other pitcher) high enough in thisweek’sROS rankings.But itdoes meanthat we can probably trust what weare seeingmore than we could a month ago. And yet, it almost makes rest-of-season rankings trickier for those who have drastically underperformed to this point in the season.

Let’sstart with Rodriguez and Arozarena. Offense is down across baseball, approaching levels we have not seen since the early 1990s. But neither Rodriguez nor Arozarena are in the top 200 overall from a year-to-date perspective in fantasy. Rodriguez hit his third home run of the season on Saturday. Meanwhile, JJ Bleday has had three homers since Wednesday.Only so much blame can be attributedto the baseball orbadweather. Rodriguez is just not hitting the ball with authority. His barrel rate is down from 12.4 percent to 7.7 percent this season. Rodriguez is also not pulling the ball. Fangraphs credits him with a 31.9 percent pull rate,which isfar below his career number entering the year (41.9 percent). As a result, he is slugging just .319 this season. For reference, ZackGreinke’scareer slugging percentage is .336.

Having said that,I do not think Rodriguez isthat far awayfrom figuring it out. While his walk rate has decreased and strikeout rate has risen this year,Rodriguez’scontact rates are more or less in line with his career norms. And even though his barrels are way down, heis still hittingthe ball hard. Rodriguez ranks in the 86th percentile in hard-hit rate, per Baseball Savant. His line drive percentage is way up this year, and he still possesses elite bat speed. PerhapsSaturday’shome run can get him going. The Mariners have scored the second-fewest runs in baseball, whichhasn’thelped his counting stats. Ultimately, I still think Rodriguez is an elite talent and should still produce big numbersgoing forward. I am a bit more concerned about Arozarena.

While Rodriguez has at least maintained a solid batting average and has some decent underlying metrics, Arozarena cannot say the same. He enters the weekendhittinga cool .159. His expected batting average is higher, butis stillonly .200. Arozarena ranks in the bottom five percent of players in xBA, launch angle sweet spot percentage, and whiff rate. He has the second-lowest line drive rate (11.1 percent) among 160 qualified hitters. That has resulted in a .186 BABIP, thelowest among all qualifiers.Hedoes still haveeight home runs to his credit, whichis in linewith his career averages.But he looks likehe’strying to hit every pitch into the upper deck in left field. I wouldbe lyingif I said I knew exactly where to place him in thisweek’srankings.

He has only started three of theteam’spast five games. But with Josh Lowe back on the Injured List again, I do not think Arozarena is inrealdanger of losing his starting job. Tampa Bay faces Oakland and Miami in the next couple of weeks. Both teams rank in the bottom eight in team ERA, andMiami’srotation features several left-handed pitchers. Perhaps this stretch can get Arozarena looking like his old self. I still think you probably have to start him in most formats forthe time beingand hope for the best.Having said that,I did drop him a bit in my ROS rankings. Is it too much? Not enough? Only time will tell.

RANK	PLAYER	TEAM	POS
1	Ronald Acuna Jr.	ATL	OF
2	Bobby Witt Jr.	KC	SS
3	Shohei Ohtani	LAD	DH
4	Kyle Tucker	HOU	OF
5	Juan Soto	NYY	OF
6	Mookie Betts	LAD	2B/SS/ OF
7	Aaron Judge	NYY	OF
8	Yordan Alvarez	HOU	OF
9	Fernando Tatis Jr.	SD	OF
10	Freddie Freeman	LAD	1B
11	Jose Ramirez	CLE	3B
12	Elly De La Cruz	CIN	SS/3B
13	Gunnar Henderson	BAL	SS/3B
14	Zack Wheeler	PHI	SP
15	Rafael Devers	BOS	3B
16	Matt Olson	ATL	1B
17	Austin Riley	ATL	3B
18	Bryce Harper	PHI	1B
19	Corbin Burnes	BAL	SP
20	Julio Rodriguez	SEA	OF
21	Corey Seager	TEX	SS
22	Ozzie Albies	ATL	2B
23	Pablo Lopez	MIN	SP
24	Pete Alonso	NYM	1B
25	Tarik Skubal	DET	SP
26	CJ Abrams	WSH	SS
27	Marcus Semien	TEX	2B
28	Michael Harris II	ATL	OF
29	Tyler Glasnow	LAD	SP
30	Corbin Carroll	ARI	OF
31	Yoshinobu Yamamoto	LAD	SP
32	George Kirby	SEA	SP
33	Jose Altuve	HOU	2B
34	Luis Castillo	SEA	SP
35	Francisco Lindor	NYM	SS
36	Freddy Peralta	MIL	SP
37	Zac Gallen	ARI	SP
38	Joe Ryan	MIN	SP
39	Aaron Nola	PHI	SP
40	Kevin Gausman	TOR	SP
41	Logan Gilbert	SEA	SP
42	Bo Bichette	TOR	SS
43	Max Fried	ATL	SP
44	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	TOR	1B
45	Emmanuel Clase	CLE	RP
46	Adolis Garcia	TEX	OF
47	Dylan Cease	SD	SP
48	Josh Hader	HOU	RP
49	Framber Valdez	HOU	SP
50	Kyle Schwarber	PHI	OF
51	Chris Sale	ATL	SP
52	Jazz Chisholm Jr.	MIA	OF
53	Josh Naylor	CLE	1B
54	Marcell Ozuna	ATL	DH
55	Adley Rutschman	BAL	C
56	Christian Yelich	MIL	OF
57	Ketel Marte	ARI	2B
58	Manny Machado	SD	3B
59	Logan Webb	SF	SP
60	Teoscar Hernandez	LAD	OF
61	Andres Gimenez	CLE	2B
62	Camilo Doval	SF	RP
63	Cody Bellinger	CHC	1B/OF
64	Cole Ragans	KC	SP
65	Christian Walker	ARI	1B
66	Randy Arozarena	TB	OF
67	Sonny Gray	STL	SP
68	Anthony Volpe	NYY	SS
69	William Contreras	MIL	C
70	Bryan Reynolds	PIT	OF
71	Shota Imanaga	CHC	SP
72	Oneil Cruz	PIT	SS
73	Raisel Iglesias	ATL	RP
74	Paul Goldschmidt	STL	1B
75	Clay Holmes	NYY	RP
76	Nico ho*rner	CHC	2B/SS
77	Alex Bregman	HOU	3B
78	Spencer Steer	CIN	1B/3B/ OF
79	J.T. Realmuto	PHI	C
80	Jarren Duran	BOS	OF
81	Grayson Rodriguez	BAL	SP
82	Jhoan Duran	MIN	RP
83	Seiya Suzuki	CHC	OF
84	Christopher Morel	CHC	3B/OF
85	Edwin Diaz	NYM	RP
86	Alec Bohm	PHI	1B/3B
87	Gleyber Torres	NYY	2B
88	Will Smith	LAD	C
89	George Springer	TOR	OF
90	Nolan Arenado	STL	3B
91	Willy Adames	MIL	SS
92	Evan Phillips	LAD	RP
93	Jeremy Pena	HOU	SS
94	Justin Steele	CHC	SP
95	Mason Miller	OAK	RP
96	Vinnie Pasquantino	KC	1B
97	Luis Arraez	SD	2B
98	Bryson Stott	PHI	2B
99	David Bednar	PIT	RP
100	Tanner Bibee	CLE	SP
101	Justin Verlander	HOU	SP
102	Salvador Perez	KC	C/1B
103	Andres Munoz	SEA	RP
104	Jose Berrios	TOR	SP
105	Paul Skenes	PIT	SP
106	Tyler O’Neill	BOS	OF
107	Ezequiel Tovar	COL	SS
108	Anthony Santander	BAL	OF
109	Carlos Rodon	NYY	SP
110	Ryan Helsley	STL	RP
111	Yu Darvish	SD	SP
112	Nick Castellanos	PHI	OF
113	Brandon Nimmo	NYM	OF
114	Riley Greene	DET	OF
115	Zach Eflin	TB	SP
116	Alexis Diaz	CIN	RP
117	Trea Turner	PHI	SS
118	Bobby Miller	LAD	SP
119	Taylor Ward	LAA	OF
120	Ha-Seong Kim	SD	2B/SS/ 3B
121	Ranger Suarez	PHI	SP
122	Bailey Ober	MIN	SP
123	Chris Bassitt	TOR	SP
124	Yandy Diaz	TB	1B
125	Dansby Swanson	CHC	SS
126	Kyle Bradish	BAL	SP
127	Robert Suarez	SD	RP
128	Hunter Greene	CIN	SP
129	Isaac Paredes	TB	1B/3B
130	Jordan Romano	TOR	RP
131	Maikel Garcia	KC	3B
132	Joe Musgrove	SD	SP
133	Jordan Westburg	BAL	2B/3B
134	Yainer Diaz	HOU	C
135	Royce Lewis	MIN	3B
136	Gerrit Cole	NYY	SP
137	Kenley Jansen	BOS	RP
138	Evan Carter	TEX	OF
139	Ian Happ	CHC	OF
140	Jorge Soler	SF	OF
141	Nathaniel Lowe	TEX	1B
142	Craig Kimbrel	BAL	RP
143	Daulton Varsho	TOR	OF
144	Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	ARI	OF
145	Starling Marte	NYM	OF
146	Jared Jones	PIT	SP
147	Ryan McMahon	COL	2B/3B
148	Rhys Hoskins	MIL	1B
149	Blake Snell	SF	SP
150	Cal Raleigh	SEA	C
151	Jesus Luzardo	MIA	SP
152	Lars Nootbaar	STL	OF
153	Luis Robert Jr.	CHW	OF
154	Ryan Mountcastle	BAL	1B
155	Jack Flaherty	DET	SP
156	Mitch Keller	PIT	SP
157	Jake Burger	MIA	3B
158	Jordan Montgomery	ARI	SP
159	Steven Kwan	CLE	OF
160	Nestor Cortes	NYY	SP
161	Paul Sewald	ARI	RP
162	Thairo Estrada	SF	2B/SS
163	Mike Trout	LAA	OF
164	Tanner Scott	MIA	RP
165	Bryce Miller	SEA	SP
166	Cedric Mullins	BAL	OF
167	Walker Buehler	LAD	SP
168	Charlie Morton	ATL	SP
169	Nolan Jones	COL	OF
170	Jackson Chourio	MIL	OF
171	Yusei Kikuchi	TOR	SP
172	Edouard Julien	MIN	2B
173	Garrett Crochet	CHW	SP
174	Carlos Correa	MIN	SS
175	Luis Rengifo	LAA	2B/SS/ 3B/OF
176	Lane Thomas	WSH	OF
177	Andrew Vaughn	CHW	1B
178	Christian Encarnacion-Strand	CIN	1B
179	Pete Fairbanks	TB	RP
180	Nick Pivetta	BOS	SP
181	Kyle Finnegan	WSH	RP
182	Michael King	SD	SP
183	Jeimer Candelario	CIN	1B/3B
184	Jonathan India	CIN	2B
185	Kerry Carpenter	DET	OF
186	Matt Chapman	SF	3B
187	Max Scherzer	TEX	SP
188	Spencer Torkelson	DET	1B
189	Logan O’Hoppe	LAA	C
190	Reid Detmers	LAA	SP
191	Brandon Pfaadt	ARI	SP
192	Ke’Bryan Hayes	PIT	3B
193	Aaron Civale	TB	SP
194	Nathan Eovaldi	TEX	SP
195	Anthony Rizzo	NYY	1B
196	Jonah Heim	TEX	C
197	Jose Alvarado	PHI	RP
198	Brayan Bello	BOS	SP
199	Bryan Woo	SEA	SP
200	Kirby Yates	TEX	RP
201	Carlos Estevez	LAA	RP
202	Josh Lowe	TB	OF
203	Tanner Houck	BOS	SP
204	Cristopher Sanchez	PHI	SP
205	Eloy Jimenez	CHW	DH
206	Willson Contreras	STL	C
207	Wyatt Langford	TEX	OF
208	Cristian Javier	HOU	SP
209	MacKenzie Gore	WSH	SP
210	Byron Buxton	MIN	OF
211	Ryan Pepiot	TB	SP
212	Jake Fraley	CIN	OF
213	Brice Turang	MIL	2B/SS
214	Kodai Senga	NYM	SP
215	Bryan De La Cruz	MIA	OF
216	Zach Neto	LAA	SS
217	Gabriel Moreno	ARI	C
218	Ryan Jeffers	MIN	C
219	Giancarlo Stanton	NYY	OF
220	Justin Turner	TOR	1B
221	Hunter Brown	HOU	SP
222	Josh Bell	MIA	1B
223	Ceddanne Rafaela	BOS	SS/OF
224	Max Muncy	LAD	3B
225	Xander Bogaerts	SD	2B/SS
226	Brendan Donovan	STL	2B/OF
227	Zack Gelof	OAK	2B
228	Max Kepler	MIN	OF
229	Taj Bradley	TB	SP
230	Kutter Crawford	BOS	SP
231	Vaughn Grissom	BOS	SS
232	Jo Adell	LAA	OF
233	Jason Foley	DET	RP
234	Luis Garcia	WSH	2B
235	Marcus Stroman	NYY	SP
236	Sean Murphy	ATL	C
237	Merrill Kelly	ARI	SP
238	Christian Scott	NYM	SP
239	Nolan Gorman	STL	2B
240	Brenton Doyle	COL	OF
241	J.D. Martinez	NYM	DH
242	Tyler Stephenson	CIN	C
243	Keibert Ruiz	WSH	C
244	Brendan Rodgers	COL	2B
245	Lance Lynn	STL	SP
246	Seth Lugo	KC	SP
247	Chas McCormick	HOU	OF
248	Nick Lodolo	CIN	SP
249	Brady Singer	KC	SP
250	Brandon Marsh	PHI	OF
251	Luis Gil	NYY	SP
252	Masataka Yoshida	BOS	OF
253	Alex Verdugo	NYY	OF
254	Jake Cronenworth	SD	1B/2B
255	Luis Campusano	SD	C
256	Braxton Garrett	MIA	SP
257	Jackson Merrill	SD	SS/OF
258	James McArthur	KC	RP
259	J.P. Crawford	SEA	SS
260	MJ Melendez	KC	OF
261	Ryan O’Hearn	BAL	1B/OF
262	Jorge Polanco	SEA	2B
263	Reynaldo Lopez	ATL	SP
264	Tommy Pham	CHW	OF
265	Josh Jung	TEX	3B
266	Leody Taveras	TEX	OF
267	Andrew Abbott	CIN	SP
268	Brandon Drury	LAA	1B/2B
269	Brent Rooker	OAK	OF
270	Hector Neris	CHC	RP
271	Mitch Garver	SEA	C
272	Will Benson	CIN	OF
273	Clarke Schmidt	NYY	SP
274	Tommy Edman	STL	2B/SS/ OF
275	Brandon Lowe	TB	2B
276	Jeff McNeil	NYM	2B/OF
277	Wilyer Abreu	BOS	OF
278	Jordan Hicks	SF	SP
279	Sean Manaea	NYM	SP
280	Orlando Arcia	ATL	SS
281	Ty France	SEA	1B
282	Trevor Megill	MIL	RP
283	Michael Kopech	CHW	RP
284	TJ Friedl	CIN	OF
285	Gavin Williams	CLE	SP
286	Sal Frelick	MIL	OF
287	Danny Jansen	TOR	C
288	Elias Diaz	COL	C
289	Eugenio Suarez	ARI	3B
290	Shea Langeliers	OAK	C
291	Triston Casas	BOS	1B
292	Colton Cowser	BAL	OF
293	Devin Williams	MIL	RP
294	Jarred Kelenic	ATL	OF
295	Luis Severino	NYM	SP
296	Michael Wacha	KC	SP
297	Kyle Harrison	SF	SP
298	Bo Naylor	CLE	C
299	Michael Busch	CHC	1B/3B
300	Miles Mikolas	STL	SP
301	Jason Adam	TB	RP
302	Joc Pederson	ARI	OF
303	Jack Suwinski	PIT	OF
304	Kris Bryant	COL	OF
305	Adbert Alzolay	CHC	RP
306	Kyle Gibson	STL	SP
307	Charlie Blackmon	COL	OF
308	Jon Gray	TEX	SP
309	Andrew Benintendi	CHW	OF
310	Hunter Harvey	WSH	RP
311	Connor Wong	BOS	C
312	Ryan Pressly	HOU	RP
313	Zack Littell	TB	SP
314	Griffin Jax	MIN	RP
315	Andy Pages	LAD	OF
316	Willi Castro	MIN	SS/3B/OF
317	Kenta Maeda	DET	SP
318	Michael Massey	KC	2B
319	Junior Caminero	TB	SS/3B
320	Nolan Schanuel	LAA	1B
321	Jordan Walker	STL	OF
322	Mark Canha	DET	OF
323	Ronel Blanco	HOU	SP
324	Kevin Ginkel	ARI	RP
325	Erick Fedde	CHW	SP
326	Jose Siri	TB	OF
327	Patrick Sandoval	LAA	SP
328	Jackson Holliday	BAL	2B/SS
329	Reed Garrett	NYM	RP
330	Triston McKenzie	CLE	SP
331	Eduardo Rodriguez	ARI	SP
332	Esteury Ruiz	OAK	OF
333	Jalen Beeks	COL	RP
334	Reese Olsen	DET	SP
335	Javier Assad	CHC	SP
336	Brett Baty	NYM	3B
337	James Outman	LAD	OF
338	Tim Anderson	MIA	SS
339	Alex Kirilloff	MIN	1B/OF
340	Masyn Winn	STL	SS
341	Yimi Garcia	TOR	RP
342	Dane Dunning	TEX	SP
343	Alejandro Kirk	TOR	C
344	Shane Baz	TB	SP
345	David Robertson	TEX	RP
346	Jesus Sanchez	MIA	OF
347	Matt Strahm	PHI	RP
348	Jose Caballero	TB	2B/SS
349	Davis Schneider	TOR	2B/OF
350	Jurickson Profar	SD	OF
351	Jameson Taillon	CHC	SP
352	Logan Allen	CLE	SP
353	James Paxton	LAD	SP
354	James Wood	WSH	OF
355	Jose Quintana	NYM	SP
356	Elehuris Montero	COL	1B
357	Jake Meyers	HOU	OF
358	Tyler Freeman	CLE	3B/OF
359	Mitch Haniger	SEA	OF
360	JP Sears	OAK	SP
361	Jacob Young	WSH	OF
362	Tyler Anderson	LAA	SP
363	Joey Ortiz	MIL	2B/3B
364	Frankie Montas	CIN	SP
365	LaMonte Wade Jr.	SF	1B/OF

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Rest of Season Fantasy Baseball Rankings: Panic in the Outfield (2024)

References