Pacers vs. Celtics Player Props & Predictions - Game 4 (Monday) (2024)

The Pacers host the Boston Celtics on Monday, May 27. Today’s game is set for 8:00 ET and will be shown on ESPN. Boston comes into this game as 7.5-point favorites with the total set at 222.5. Keep reading to get our Pacers vs. Celtics player props and predictions.

Pacers vs. Celtics Player Props Special

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Pacers vs. Celtics Odds

• Spread: Celtics -7.5
• Total 222.5

Game Info

• Date: Monday, May 27
• Time: 8:00 ET
• Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis IN
• TV: ESPN

Celtics Betting Trends

• Over their last five games, the Celtics have an over/under record of 5-0 and are 1-4 vs. the spread.
• Across the Celtics last ten road games, the team averaged 108 points per game while allowing 102. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 4-6, while going 7-3 straight-up.
• Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the Celtics have a straight up record of 9-1. Their record vs the spread in these games was 5-5.

Pacers Betting Trends

• In their last five games, the Pacers have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.
• In their last five games at home, the Pacers have a straight up record of 1-4 while going 2-3 vs. the spread. The team averaged 116 points per game in this stretch.
• Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Pacers have gone 3-2 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-4.

Do the Celtics Have a Shot at a Win at Indianapolis?

Today, the Celtics are favored by 7.5 points, and they have a record of 73-18 as the favorite this season. In the Eastern Conference, Boston is in 1st place with a record of 64-18.

Boston has won six straight games and is 48-43 against the spread this season (46-41 as the favorite). On the road, the Celtics have an ATS record of 22-22.

This season, the Celtics have an O/U record of 51-43-1, and the over has hit in their last five games. On average, their games have finished with 227.5 points, compared to today’s O/U line of 222.5.

In their last game, the Celtics beat the Pacers by a score of 114-111. The O/U line for that game was 220.5 points. Boston was favored by 7 points going into the game, giving them a 3-point ATS loss.

The Celtics are the league’s top three-point shooting team this season, both in terms of three-point shooting percentage and three-pointers made per game. They are averaging 16.5 made threes per game. Overall, they are the second-highest scoring team in the league at 120.6 points per game.

Jayson Tatum has been playing well of late, averaging 30.6 points per game in his last five games, while hitting 48.2% of his shots from the field. Over this stretch, he also averaged 9.8 rebounds and 6.2 assists. Jaylen Brown is averaging 25.6 points per game in his last five games, while shooting 52.8% from the field.

Will the Pacers Secure A Victory as Home Underdogs?

Indiana is coming off a 114-111 loss to the Celtics, where they covered the spread as 7-point underdogs. The O/U line for that game was 220.5 points.

Today, the Pacers are also the underdogs, getting 7.5 points at home. They have gone 23-24 as the underdog this season and have lost their last three games as the underdog.

This season, Indiana has an average scoring differential of +7.6 points per game at home. On the road, their scoring differential is -1.9 PPG. Against the spread at home, they are 27-20 and 28-17 as the underdog.

Indiana’s O/U record for the season is 54-44, and the over has hit in their last five games. On average, their games have finished with 241 points, compared to today’s line of 222.5.

In the Eastern Conference standings, the Pacers are currently in 6th place with a record of 47-35. Against the East, they are 32-20 and 11-6 against their division.

Indiana comes into the game as the NBA’s top-scoring team, averaging 123.3 points per game. Their scoring average at home is even better, at 124.4 points per contest. The Pacers have been an efficient shooting team this year, connecting on 50% of their shots from the field, which is the best mark in the league. They have also been efficient inside the arc, leading the league with a two-point field goal percentage of 58%.

Looking at the Pacers’ offense over their last five games, Pascal Siakam has shot 56.4% from the field and 23.8 points per game. Andrew Nembhard is averaging 19 points per game in this stretch while hitting 52.4% of his threes. Myles Turner has hit 59.6% of his shots from the field in his last five games and 17.4 points per game. Indiana will be without Bennedict Mathurin, who is averaging 14.5 points per game for the season.

Pacers vs. Celtics Player Props

A player prop we are looking at is Pascal Siakam and his points prop of 23.5.

Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of +100 while the under is at -120. Our model predicts that Pascal Siakam will finish with 23 points, 8 rebounds, and 4. As for his points prop, we favor the under at 23.5.

• The Prop: Pascal Siakam Under 23.5 Points (-120)

Pacers vs. Celtics Predictions

The Pacers come in as the underdog at +7.5, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 222.5 and our model has the Celtics and Pacers finishing with a combined 226 points. Our pick is to take the over.

The Pick: Pacers +7.5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook